Canucks rally in third to beat Preds

Hockey Betting Lines

03/07/2010 - Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jannik Hansen scored the game-winner in the third, as the Vancouver Canucks rallied for a 4-2 win over the Nashville Predators.

Henrik Sedin had a goal and an assist, while Alexander Edler and Mikael Samuelsson each lit the lamp for the Canucks, who have won three of their last four.

Roberto Luongo made 33 stops for Vancouver, which notched its 40th win on the season in its 65th game. It's the fastest that Vancouver has gotten to 40 wins in franchise history.

Vancouver, which is 7-5-0 in its NHL-record 14-game road trip, plays in Colorado on Tuesday.

Jason Arnott and Jordin Tootoo each had a goal for the Predators, who have dropped their last two games. Pekka Rinne gave up three goals on 27 shots.

Trailing by a goal in the third, Vancouver tied the game at 2-all halfway through the frame. Samuelsson was able to catch up to a rolling puck at the outside right circle, and he blasted it into the top of the net.

A bit over four minutes later, the Canucks took a 3-2 advantage, as Hansen was sprung on the breakaway and saw his wrister stopped but followed up and slammed home the rebound.

Nashville got Rinne out of the net for the extra attacker, but Sedin sealed the win with the empty-netter.

At the 11:10 mark of the first period, the Canucks took the lead. Pavol Demitra, who was without his stick, kicked the puck along the boards from the left point, and it went down to the deep right side. Ryan Kesler gathered the disc and sent a pass out front for Edler, who sent a low wrist shot just inside the left post.

Nashville, though, got the goal back with 6:16 to play in the first, as Arnott's slap shot from the right circle went off the knob of Luongo's stick and into the net for a power-play goal.

The Predators took the lead 7:25 into the second period. A turnover from Demitra in the attacking end saw Nashville take the puck down the ice. From the left circle, Tootoo blasted a shot on net that Luongo stopped, but Tootoo followed up his shot and chipped the rebound over the goaltender for a 2-1 advantage.

Game Notes

Nashville hits the road for four games starting in Atlanta on Tuesday...Samuelsson's goal was his 24th of the season, a new career- high...Each team won twice in the season series...Nashville went 1-for-2 on the power play, while Vancouver failed on one chance with the extra attacker.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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